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IWM signals bearish engulfing pattern PDF Print E-mail
Wednesday, 05 January 2011 13:55

IWM which is the ETF for the Russell 2000 made a bearish engulfing candle yesterday.  Of course we need to see confirmation of that signal with a lower low, but it is time to put the brakes on the long side trade for the swing traders out there.

Since July the market has been on a tear and we have seen very few pullbacks so if we get some confirmation here 5-7% in IWM is not unreasonable.

I will keep blogging on this topic until it has resolved one way or the other.

Happy Trading!

 
New Year's thoughts PDF Print E-mail
Monday, 03 January 2011 01:52

I hope everyone had a happy new year and a great holiday season.  I love the holidays and I know a lot of people use New Year's as their chance for resolutions in their quest to be better people.  I like the concept but I understand that becoming better is an ongoing battle that requires huge effort to make the changes in your life that you desire.  The reason that most resolutions don't work is that people do not understand the commitment that it takes every day to get where they want to go.

For me, I have made many mistakes in my life and overcoming those errors has been brutally hard work, but every day I focus on what I want to improve, and then review my journals to make sure I am getting closer to my goals and not farther away I am going to work on blogging more this year, improve my trading and add more students for my teaching.  I also have some personal goals but I will keep those to myself.

I don't set too many goals, it clouds the mind, pick the goals that really get you pumped and give you strong positive emotions.  These are the goals that mean the most to you.  Select a path to achieve each goal, the goal should be attainable but should be a stretch to get there.  I set mini goals along the way to get me to the larger goal, for example if my goal is to make $1 million, it would be great to make that in a day, but more realsitically I have a better chance to make $84,000 a month which is about $4,000 a day.  Breaking down the goal makes it less daunting.

Monitor how you are doing towards your goal, are you surpassing or falling short and what changes can you make to get you there.  If you are surpassing, then raise the goal, if you are winding up short, then how can you improve or is your goal unrealistic?

Keep a positive attitude and always believe in yourself which may be the best piece of advice you can get.  Do not let yourself get down, no matter what.

Happy trading and feel free to contact me for help.

 
A plan for each day PDF Print E-mail
Friday, 19 November 2010 12:31

As I discuss trading with my students I find that I not only convey really good trading advice but it always helps me to reinforce my own good habits.  Last night I was talking to a student and I was teaching about how I think about my day before the day gets started and how I would most like to envision my day playing out.

I never make a trade without knowing all of the facts before I make the trade such as what is my maximum share size, what my entry is and what my potential risk could be.  Once I have processed all of that information based on my methodology I decide if it is a trade I would like to take or to leave on the side until it becomes a better trade.

Then the conversation moved over to how I envision my day playing out.  At the 9:30 am open I like to take the first 15-20 minutes and make a few quick scalps working on building up my profits for the day.  This time frame always produces a lot of volatility and is a great place for a trader with my skill set to do well.  Once the action starts to calm down near 10 am, I will then start to look for trades that I can build into with more of a position.  This is based on my pivots and seeing a short term trend developing and how it may play out.  On a good day, these positions can last until 11:30 am and then I most likely wind down, get lunch and then plan my afternoon.

The afternoon gets tricky as to when volumes really start to pick up so I can't put a solid time on it, but it is almost never pre 1:30 pm.  Here I will look to continue on the positions I exited before lunch and see how they have fared over time, do I want to get back in?, do I want to avoid? and of course this all is planned out ahead of time.  This is also the time I reflect on my P&L and calculate my max give back for the day and what my target for the rest of the day looks like.

Once 3:30 pm comes my day is winding down, my stop risk gets tighter and focus on more short scalp trades or exiting my positions from earlier in the day.  This has been my day for many years, this is what I work to achieve, it does not always play out this way but by having an idea of what my plan is and what my normal day looks like there are no surprises to me and that is a key ingredient to being a successful trader.

 
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